中国“一带一路”沿线省份交通基础设施建设与经济增长的关系研究

Research on the Impact of Traffic Infrastructure Construction on the Economic Growth of Provinces along “the Belt and Road Initiative” in China

文章利用2007年—2016年“21世纪丝绸之路经济带”沿线13个省份及“海上丝绸之路”沿线5个省份面板数据,利用混合OLS模型,阐述了交通基础设施建设对于沿线省市经济增长的影响研究。结果显示:在“21世纪丝绸之路经济带”沿线省市中,交通基础设施建设对于经济增长起到抑制的作用,而“海上丝绸之路”沿线省市中,交通基础设施建设和经济增长之间是一种“U”型的关系。从而得出“一带一路”沿线18个省份应该根据地区自身的经济增长模式,从自身发展所存在的优势劣势出发,最大化的发挥交通基础设施建设的作用。

The article uses panel data of 13 provinces and cities along the “21st Century Silk Road Economic Belt” and 5 provinces and cities along the “Maritime Silk Road” in 2007-2016, using the mixed OLS model to illustrate the construction of transportation infrastructure for the province along the route. Research on the impact of the city's economic growth. The results show that in the provinces and cities along the “21st Century Silk Road Economic Belt”, the construction of transportation infrastructure has played a role in restraining economic growth. In the provinces and cities along the “Maritime Silk Road”, transportation infrastructure construction and economic growth There is a "U" relationship between them. Therefore, 18 provinces and cities along the “Belt and Road” should start from the advantages and disadvantages of their own development according to the region's own economic growth model, and maximize the role of transportation infrastructure construction.