关于“国有股减持”理论的若干缺陷

From Halting the Reduction of State Shareholding to Rethinking of Theoretical Drawbacks

本文反思了从经济理论角度 ,探讨了国有股减持为何一度呼声很高 ,后来却在现实中遭遇严重挫折而被迫停止 ,分析了关于国有股减持的主要流行理论 ,如国有股“一股独大”和“全流通”理论 ,存在哪些缺陷并导致了同原设想相反的实践后果 ,未能筹集社会保障资金反而导致不稳定。本文指出依靠一次性出售国有资产 ,难以成为社会保障资金的长期来源 ,阿根廷、俄罗斯私有化加速了社会保障体系瓦解。本文还论述了中国证券市场的改革方向 ,怎样借鉴美国股市、公司丑闻的教训 ,防止泡沫投机危害促进股市稳定发展 ,还提出了建立国有股流通稳定基金的政策设想 ,主张应按经济规律促进国有股的适度流通 ,实现有进有出的国有资产结构优化调整。

The paper discusses the shortcomings of various theories regarding the reduction of state shareholding, and explains why those theories leads to unfavorable results contrary to previous design, and points out that one-time sale of state-owned assets can't form a stable source for social security funds. The paper also studies the orientation of China's stock market reform, and proposes that excessive turbulence in stock market similar to recent U.S. new economy bubble and corporate scandals.