摘要
菠萝是东盟各国重要的农业经济作物,随着“一带一路”政策的实施,中国与东盟就菠萝产业的交流日益频繁。东盟菠萝种植主要集中在泰国、菲律宾、越南、印度尼西亚4国,它们的产量占东盟总产量的94.76%,出口量占东盟总出口量的93.96%。分析了从1987~2017年东盟主产4国的种植演变,发现均成波动上涨趋势。并用此数据预测了主产4国2020年的产量。提出新常态下中国与东盟就菠萝产业的合作机遇与挑战并行。
Pineapple is an important agricultural economic crop in ASEAN.With the"one belt and one road",the communication between China and ASEAN on pineapple industry has become increasingly frequent.The ASEAN pineapple planting industry is mainly concentrated in Thailand,Philippines,Vietnam and Indonesia.Their output accounts for 94.76% of ASEAN's total output and 93.96% of ASEAN's total export.The evolution of planting in the four countries from 1987 to 2017 was analyzed,and it was found that all of them had a fluctuating upward trend.The data are used to predict the output of the four countries in 2020.It is pointed out that the opportunities and challenges of cooperation between China and ASEAN in pineapple industry are parallel under the new normal conditions.
作者
金琰
JIN Yan(Institute of Science and Technology Information,CATAS,Haikou,Hainan 571101)
出处
《热带农业科学》
2019年第11期122-126,共5页
Chinese Journal of Tropical Agriculture
基金
热带农业大数据研究与服务科技创新团队(No.1630072017006)
院基本科研业务费专项项目(No.1630072019002)
关键词
东盟
菠萝产业
灰色预测模型
ASEAN
pineapple industry
grey prediction model