中部地区环境规制的产业结构调整效应分析

Analysis of Industrial Structure Adjustment Effect of Environmental Regulation in Central China

经济发展和环境问题一直是相互冲突又相互协调的两大主题。在中国政府“稳增长、调结构”的政策指导下,选取中部地区1997—2017年相关面板数据,对正式和非正式环境规制对产业结构调整的倒逼效应进行了实证分析,并检验了环境规制对地区产业调整的门槛效应和空间异质性。结果显示:正式环境规制对产业结构调整起到了有效的倒逼作用,非正式环境规制对产业结构调整的影响不一。随着正式环境规制强度逐渐增强,对产业结构调整的影响大致呈先促进、后抑制的过程。提出了正式环境规制多样化、加强非正式规制的力量和制度创新、规范环境规制等政策建议。

Economic development and environmental issues have been the two main themes of conflict and coordination.Under the guidance of the Chinese government’s policy of“stabilizing growth and adjusting structure”,the study selected the relevant panel data for the central China from 1997 to 2017,and empirically analyzed and tested the indirect effects of formal and informal environmental regulation on industrial restructuring.Then the paper tested threshold effect and spatial heterogeneity of environmental regulation on regional industry adjustment.The study believes that formal environmental regulations played an effective reversal role in the adjustment of industrial structure,and informal environmental regulation had a different impact on industrial restructuring.With the gradual strengthening of the formal environmental regulation,the impact on the adjustment of the industrial structure is generally promoted first and then suppressed.In response to these problems,it proposed the diversification of formal environmental regulations,strengthening informal regulation and institutional innovation,and standardizing environmental regulation and other policy recommendations.