农业生产培训能提升农户扩大农地规模意愿吗?——来自12省2340个农户的证据

Can Agricultural Production Training Increase Farmers’ Willingness to Expand the Scale of Agricultural Land?——Evidence from 2 340 Farmers in 12 Provinces

在“土地抛荒”和“毁约弃耕”不断出现的情况下,如何提升农户扩大农地规模信心成为中国农业规模化经营中面临的现实问题.基于12省(自治区)2340份农户数据,运用Probit模型、Cloglog模型、IV-Probit模型和倾向得分匹配法分析农业生产培训对农户扩大农地规模意愿的影响.研究发现:农业生产培训能够显著提升农户扩大农地规模意愿,结论在一系列稳健性检验下依然成立;异质性分析表明,培训对大规模农户和高教育程度农户的影响更大,且仅对于高收入农户以及中部和东北地区农户扩大农地规模意愿有显著正向影响;扩展性分析发现,培训能够显著提高农户计划经营规模.因此,在规模化经营过程中要强化农业生产培训,而且培训中应考虑农户和地区差异.

Under the circumstance of"land abandonment"and"contract violation and abandonment",how to increase farmers’confidence in expanding the scale of farmland has become a realistic and important issue.Based on the data of 2,340 households in 12 provinces(districts),the Probit model,Cloglog model,IV-Probit model and propensity score matching method were employed to analyze the impact of agricultural production training on farmers’willingness to expand the scale of farmland.The results show that:(1)Agricultural production training can significantly arouse farmers’willingness to expand the scale of agricultural land,which is tenable under a series of robustness tests.(2)Heterogeneity analysis shows that the training has a greater impact on large-scale farmers and well-educated farmers;for high-income farmers and farmers in the central and northeastern regions,the training coefficient is significantly positive.(3)Extensibility analysis reveals that training can significantly increase the scale of farmer’s planned operations.Therefore,agricultural production training should be emphasized in expanding the scale of farmland,and the training should take the differences among farmers and regions into account.