摘要
本文为研究当前及下一阶段国际油价走势,回顾了1984年以来主要4次国际油价大幅下跌的情况。从需求侧、供应侧两方面,分析了国际油价下跌及后市回升的主要影响因素。在此基础上,对2020年以来国际油价的“Y”型走势及其主要影响因素进行了分析,根据与历次油价下跌情况的比较,提出了研判国际油价后市走势的相关思考。
In order to study the current and the next stage of international oil prices trend,this article reviews the main four times sharply fall of international oil prices since 1984.From two aspects of demand side and supply side,it analyzes the main influence factors caused the fall of international oil prices and the subsequent recovery.Based on this,it analyzes the main influence factors of“Y”type oil prices trend since 2020.Considering the comparison of international oil prices fallings,it puts forward some suggestions about the judgment of international oil prices trend later on.
出处
《中国能源》
2020年第9期25-27,共3页
Energy of China
关键词
国际石油价格
下跌
分析
International Oil Prices
Drop
Analysis