区域社会资本与乡村旅游的耦合协调性研究——以杭州市为例

A study on the Coupling Coordination of Regional Social Capital and Rural Tourism:Taking Hangzhou as an Example

文章以杭州市萧山区、余杭区、富阳区、临安区、桐庐县、淳安县、建德市7个郊区为研究对象,构建基于区域社会资本和乡村旅游系统16项指标的区域社会资本与乡村旅游综合评价指标体系,通过变异系数法和耦合协调度模型对2012~2017年杭州市7个郊县的面板数据进行分析,探索其发展特征及演化规律。研究表明:2012~2017年杭州市郊县整体社会资本与乡村旅游发展耦合协调度持续上升;社会资本水平呈波动增长态势;乡村旅游在2012~2015年快速发展后趋于平稳。此外,区域社会资本与乡村旅游发展耦合协调关系存在协调发展类和濒临失调衰退类两种状态和同步型、滞后型、损益型、共损型4种表现。

This paper takes Xiaoshan,Yuhang,Fuyang,Lin'an,Tonglu,Chun'an and Jiande,the 7 suburbs of Hangzhou,as the research objects,and constructs a comprehensive evaluation index system based on 16 indicators of regional social capital and rural tourism system.Analyzing the panel data from 2012 to 2017 through the coefficient of variation method and the coupling coordination degree model has explored its development characteristics and evolution laws.Result shows that the coupling coordination degree of the overall social capital and rural tourism development of Hangzhou suburbs and counties continued rising from 2012 to 2017.The level of social capital showed a fluctuating growth trend.Rural tourism stabilized after the rapid development from 2012 to 2015.In addition,the coupling coordination relationship between regional social capital and rural tourism development has two states:coordinated development and on the verge of imbalance and recession,and four manifestations:synchronous,lagging,profit and loss,and common loss.