环境规制对能源消费的非线性效应分析——基于经济增长的约束性视角

Analysis of the Nonlinear Effect of Environmental Regulation on Energy Consumption——Based on the Restrictive Perspective of Economic Growth

基于2007—2017年30个省份的面板数据,采用面板模型和门槛模型,研究在能源消费习惯效应下不同类型环境规制对能源消费的影响,以及在不同经济增长水平下,不同类型环境规制对能源消费的影响。结果表明,能源消费习惯效应对能源消费具有明显的促进作用;总的来看,三种环境规制类型下,经济增长均对能源消费具有促进作用。市场型环境规制和政府型环境规制对能源消费具有明显的抑制效应,公众型环境规制对能源消费的抑制效应不明显,科技水平、城镇化水平、工业化水平和对外开放程度对能源消费都具有一定的影响作用;分经济增长水平来看,市场型和政府型环境规制对高经济增长区域的能源消费具有明显的抑制效应,政府型和公众型环境规制对低经济增长区域的能源消费具有显著的抑制效应。

Based on panel data from 30 provinces from 2007 to 2017,this paper uses the panel model and threshold model to study the effect of different types of environmental regulation on energy consumption under the effect of energy consumption habits and at different levels of economic growth as well.The results show that the effect of energy consumption habits has an obvious influence on energy consumption.Under three types of environmental regulation,economic growth has a promotion effect on energy consumption.Market-based environmental regulations and government-based environmental regulations have a significant inhibitory effect on energy consumption,while public-based environmental regulations have little effect on energy consumption.The level of science and technology,urbanization,industrialization,and opening up to the outside world all contribute to energy consumption.In terms of economic level,market-based and government-based environmental regulations have a significant inhibitory effect on energy consumption in areas with high economic growth.Government-type and public-type environmental regulations have a significant inhibitory effect on energy consumption in areas with low economic growth.