资源型地区能源消费、人力资本积累与经济增长

Energy Consumption,Human Capital Accumulation and Economic Growth in Resource-Based Areas

针对资源型地区能源与人力资本要素的协调利用问题,基于向量自回归模型(VAR),通过格兰杰(Granger)因果检验、脉冲响应分析及方差分解方法,实证检验了1998—2018年样本地区能源消费、人力资本积累与经济增长之间的关系。结果显示,只有能源消费是经济增长的格兰杰原因;人力资本积累与经济增长互相间均不是格兰杰原因;能源消费对人力资本产生挤出效应,导致人力资本积累水平较低。建议加速提升人力资本积累,以实现与资源的协调利用。

Based on the coordinate use of energy resources and human capital in resource-based regions,the paper applied vector auto-regressive model(VAR),Granger causality test,impulse response analysis and variance decomposition method to empirically examine the relationship among energy consumption,human capital accumulation and economic growth in sample regions from 1998 to 2018.The results showed that,only energy consumption could be the Granger cause of economic growth.And there was not a Granger relationship between human capital accumulation and economic growth.Besides,energy consumption had a crowding out effect on human capital,which has led to a lower level of human capital accumulation.We recommended that,we should accelerate the accumulation of human capital,so as to fulfill the coordinate use of human capital and energy resources.