山东省能源消费与经济增长的实证分析

Empirical Analysis of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth in Shandong Province

能源是国民经济发展的动力,对经济增长的规模与速度有一定的影响。使用协整检验、格兰杰因果关系检验、脉冲响应分析等手段对1995—2019年的山东省能源消费与经济增长进行了实证分析。通过实证检验可得出山东省能源消费总量与经济增长之间的回归方程不是伪回归,存在着长期稳定的均衡关系,具有因果关系,两者之间相互影响、相互促进。并根据实证结论提出了改善能源利用的建议。

Energy is the driving force for the development of the national economy,and it has a certain effect on the scale and speed of economic growth.This paper used co-integration test,Granger causality test,impulse response analysis and other methods to conduct an empirical analysis of the energy consumption and economic growth in Shandong Province from 1995 to 2019.The empirical test shows that the regression equation between the total energy consumption and economic growth in Shandong Province is not a pseudo-regression,there is a long-term stable equilibrium relationship and a causal relationship,and the two influence and promote each other.Then based on the empirical conclusions,it put forward suggestions on improving energy utilization.