基于2030年碳达峰目标的中国省域碳配额分配研究

Analysis on China’s Provincial Carbon Quota Allocation Based on the 2030 Carbon Peak Goal

研究目标:基于2030年碳达峰目标,将公平、效率、责任、发展等多项原则纳入区域间碳排放权分配方案中。研究方法:综合运用空间联立模型、零和博弈SBM模型、熵权法等构造不同原则下的碳配额分配方案。研究发现:兼顾公平与效率原则的综合性碳配额分配方案因地区间减排成本差异小而容易被更多主体所接受,最适合中国当前情况。研究创新:设计的碳配额分配方案在公平性原则的基础上融入可持续发展原则,在效率性原则的基础上融入零和博弈的思想,兼具公平性、效率性、可持续性和可操作性。研究价值:制定区域间初始碳配额的合理分配方案,对于推进省际协同减排战略、建立和完善全国统一碳交易市场、实现2030年碳达峰目标具有重要的借鉴意义。

Research Objectives: Based on the goal of peak carbon dioxide emissions in 2030,many principles such as fairness, efficiency, responsibility and development are incorporated into the interregional carbon emission rights allocation scheme. Research Methods: Spatial simultaneous model, zero-sum game SBM model and entropy weight method are used to construct carbon quota allocation schemes under different principles. Research Findings: The comprehensive carbon quota allocation scheme taking into account the principle of fairness and efficiency is easily accepted by more subjects due to the small difference in emission reduction costs between regions, which is most suitable for China’s current situation. Research Innovations: The designed carbon quota allocation scheme integrates the principle of sustainable development on the basis of fairness principle, and integrates the idea of zero-sum game on the basis of efficiency principle, which has fairness, efficiency, sustainability and operability. Research Value: The formulation of a reasonable allocation scheme of regional initial carbon quotas is of great significance for promoting the coordinated emission reduction strategy among provinces, establishing and improving the national unified carbon trading market, and achieving the goal of peak carbon dioxide emissions in 2030.