地区形势新变化对中亚国家的影响:现状与前景

The Impact of the New Regional Situation on Central Asian Countries:Status Quo and Future Prospects

乌克兰危机升级后,中亚五国承受了政治、经济和安全等多重压力,随着外部环境的恶化,地区的稳定和发展经受了更为严峻的考验,影响是长期的,使中亚国家在新冠肺炎疫情缓解后快速实现经济复苏的目标难以实现。中亚国家在乌克兰危机中保持了相对中立的立场,继续与俄罗斯开展紧密的合作,在应对外来影响方面采取了较为积极有效的措施,没有出现社会的极度恐慌和动荡局面。中亚五国执政当局继续推进改革措施,坚持对外开放政策,重视遏制通胀、结构转型和改善民生等问题,争取发挥自己的优势,避免在国际舞台上被边缘化。大国博弈升级对中亚国家产生一系列负面效应,俄罗斯与美西方走向全面对抗及外部势力的全方位渗透使中亚无论在国家层面还是在地区层面都发生急剧分化,激化了内部的矛盾冲突。

Tremendous social panic and unrests have not emerged as the countries have taken effective measures and continued toconduct intimate cooperation with Russia by adopting a relatively neutral stance.A dhering to their reform and opening-up policy,the countries are endeavoring toavoid being marginalized in the international arena by attaching importance toi nflation control,structural transformation,the improvement of people’s livelihood,and the exploitation of their own strengths.The escalation of power competitione xerted a series of negative impacts and internal conflicts intensified at bothnational and regional levels as a result of full-scale confrontation between Russiaa nd the West as well as multifaceted penetration of external powers.