中日矛盾中的“聚旗效应”:日本介入台湾问题的特征及影响

“The Rally-around-the-flag Effect” in the China-Japan Conflict:Characteristics and Effects of Japan’s Involvement in the Taiwan Question

现阶段台湾问题在中日矛盾中的“聚旗效应”日益凸显,这主要是日本在中美战略竞争背景下借势而为的一种外交选择。受此影响,日本处理台湾问题的“大小前提”正在遭受结构性冲击。日本与中国保持官方往来是“大前提”,维持与台湾地区的非官方务实性接触是“小前提”。现阶段,为实现“借台遏华”的目标,日本积极跟随美国深度介入台湾问题。其特征主要体现为:以价值观为切入点,积极为介入台湾问题寻找“大义名分”;利用各种国际场合,制造国际舆论,为深度介入台湾问题造势;透过日本政界强大的“亲台”力量,屡屡掏空、虚化“一个中国”的原则。

At the present stage,“the rally-around-the-flag effect” of the Taiwan question in the China-Japan conflict becomes increasingly prominent,which is mainly a diplomatic choice made by Japan to take advantage of the situation under the background of China-U.S.strategic competition.As a result,Japan’s “major and minor preconditions” for dealing with the Taiwan question are suffering a structural shock.The “major and minor preconditions” mean that maintaining official contacts with China’s mainland is the “major precondition”,while maintaining unofficial practical contacts with Taiwan is the “minor precondition”.At the present stage,in order to realize the goal of “using Taiwan to contain China”,Japan follows the U.S.and deeply involves in the Taiwan question by taking values as the starting point,actively looking for “justified reasons” for intervening in the Taiwan question,making use of various international occasions to create international public opinion for deeper involvement in the Taiwan question and repeated weaken the “one China” principle by mobilizing the powerful “pro-Taiwan” forces in the Japanese political circles.