数字技术与中国旅游全要素生产率--基于非线性与异质性的考量

Digital Technology and Tourism Total Factor Productivity in China:A Nonlinear Studywith Heterogeneous Consideration

文章选取2013—2020年中国省级面板数据,通过使用固定效应非线性模型、调节效应模型,实证检验了数字技术对旅游全要素生产率的影响。研究发现:数字技术影响旅游全要素生产率呈现先抑制后促进的“U”型变化趋势,且主要通过技术进步发挥作用;进一步研究发现:数字技术通过旅游经济增长、旅游产业结构升级的正向调节作用对旅游全要素生产率产生“U”型影响。异质性分析表明:数字技术对旅游全要素生产率影响的“U”型关系仅存在于旅游景区禀赋较低地区、高技术创新水平地区以及东部地区。

Based on Chinese provincial panel data from 2013 to 2020,this paper empirically tests the impact of digital technology on tourism total factor productivitythrough a combination of fixed effect nonlinear estimation and moderating effect model.It is found that digital technology affects tourism total factor productivity in a"U"-shaped trend of first inhibiting and then promoting,and it mainly works through technological progress;further research finds that digital technology positively regulates tourism total factor productivity through tourism economic growth and tourism industry structure upgrading.It is further found that digital technology has a"U"-shape impact on tourism total factor productivity through the positive regulation of tourism economic growth and tourism industry structure upgrading.The heterogeneity analysis shows that the"U"-shaped relationship of digital technology on tourism total factor productivity exists only in regions with low endowment of tourist attractions,high level of technological innovation and eastern regions.