数字经济对城乡融合发展影响研究——基于中介效应模型实证检验

Impact of Digital Economy on Integrative Urban and Rural Development:Empirical Test Based on Mediation Effect Model

城乡融合是我国实现乡村振兴、全面建成社会主义现代化强国的内在要求,数字经济为城乡融合发展提供新动力与新机遇。文章基于2003—2020年中国省际面板数据,实证分析数字经济对城乡融合发展水平的影响,并通过中介效应模型检验农村劳动力流动和资本配置能力在数字经济影响城乡融合发展过程中的间接效应。研究结果表明:数字经济对城乡融合发展具有显著促进作用;中介效应检验发现,农村劳动力流动和资本配置能力是数字经济影响城乡融合发展的两个关键路径。基于此,提出推进数字设施基础化建设、健全城乡融合发展机制、发展数字生产力等政策建议。

Urban and rural integration is an intrinsic requirement of China to actualize rural revitalization and build itself into a great modern socialist country in all aspects. Digital economy has provided a new power and opportunity for the integrated urban and rural development. Based on China’s provincial panel data between 2003 and 2020,an empirical analysis is done to explore the impact of digital economy on urban and rural integrative development level;and the Mediation Effect Model is adopted to test the indirect effect of rural labor transfer and capital allocation capacity in the process of digital economy affecting the integrated urban and rural development. The results show that digital economy prominently promotes the integrated urban and rural development,and that rural labor transfer and capital allocation capacity are two key paths for digital economy to affect the integrated urban and rural development. Policy proposals are put forward in terms of prompting the construction of digital infrastructure,perfecting the mechanism of integrated urban and rural development,and developing digital productivity.