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2022年中国成品油行业运行特点分析与2023年展望 被引量:6

Operation characteristics of China's refined oil products industry in 2022 and outlook for 2023
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摘要 2022年中国成品油产量小幅增长,炼厂开工率有所下滑,炼油能力持续增强,成品油需求小幅回升,消费结构变化明显,供需差量继续收窄,成品油价格大起大落;成品油市场逐步进入平稳发展,成品油油库积极改造扩张;成品油进出口量继续下降,出口配额完成率仅为83%;市场政策频出,激发市场发展活力,推动石油流通行业高质量发展,保障成品油市场有序运行。2023年经济有望总体回升,刺激成品油需求增长;国家"十四五"时期全面深化改革的更高要求和"双碳"目标的实施,将保障行业监管措施进一步落实,加快成品油行业的数字化改革和低碳转型。 In 2022,China's output of refined oil products increased slightly year-on-year,the average capacity utilization rate went down a little,total refining capacity continued to increase,market demand for refined oil products rebounded slightly,consumption pattern changed significantly,supply-demand differential continued to narrow,and the prices of refined oil products fluctuated violently.However,the refined oil products market gradually enters stable development stage,and many refined oil depots are actively being renovated and expanded.China's import and export of refined oil products continued to drop,only 83%of export quota has been realized.China's policies about refined oil products market issued one by one,which stimulated the vitality of market entities,promoted the high-quality development of the petroleum circulation industry,and ensured the orderly operation of the refined oil products market.In 2023,China's economy is expected to rebound in general,which will stimulate the demand for refined oil products to increase.China's higher requirements of comprehensive deepening reform in the 14th Five-year Plan period and"carbon dioxide emission peaking and carbon neutralization"target will ensure the further implementation of industry regulation measurements,and accelerate the digital reform and low carbon transformation of the refined oil products industry.
作者 孙仁金 孙悦 于楠 董秀成 邸建凯 SUN Ren-jin;SUN Yue;YU Nan;DONG Xiu-cheng;DI Jian-kai(School of Economics and Management,China University of Petroleum-Beijing,Beijing 102249,China;School of International Trade and Economics,University of International Business and Economics,Beijing 100029,China;China Petroleum Circulation Association,Beijing 100068,China)
出处 《现代化工》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2023年第7期1-7,共7页 Modern Chemical Industry
基金 能源绿色转型的路径与优化:基于生态足迹的视角(72273151)。
关键词 成品油 出口配额 市场改革 能源监管 “双碳”目标 refined oil products export quota market reformation energy regulation “carbon dioxide emission peaking and carbon neutralization”targets
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