十年来“一带一路”研究:概况、成就与展望

Ten Years of the Belt and Road Initiative:Research Overview Achievements and Prospects

2023年正值“一带一路”倡议提出十周年,及时总结十年研究成果、把握未来研究趋势对于促进“一带一路”研究高质量发展具有重要意义。本文利用Citespace文献计量可视化分析工具系统分析了2013—2023年我国“一带一路”研究的概况、成就与展望。结果显示:从研究概况来看,十年来国内“一带一路”研究在发文量上经历了“倒U型”发展趋势,在核心作者与重点机构方面呈现出专业化与区域性的特征;从研究成就来看,其在学理阐释、基建互通、经贸合作、产业金融、文化交流、全球治理六大方面取得巨大成就,并在研究范式上呈现出由传统经贸地缘政治向新型全球治理转型、由依赖单一学科向多学科融合、由定性研究向定量研究的转变。未来研究应当重点围绕构建自主知识体系、顺应中国式现代化建设需求、突出规则制定与机制构建、强化突发事件应对与风险防范、推动“一带一路”共建中新问题新主题研究等方面拓展深化。

The year 2023 marks the tenth anniversary of the“the Belt and Road”initiative.Timely summarizing the research achievements of the decade and grasping the future research trends are of great significance for promoting the high-quality development of the“the Belt and Road”research.Based on relevant literature published in domestic CSSCI journals,this paper systematically analyzes the overview,achievements and prospects of China’s“the Belt and Road”research from 2013 to 2023 using Citespace’s bibliometric visual analysis tool.The results show that,from the perspective of research overview,the domestic“the Belt and Road”research has experienced an inverted U-shaped development trend in terms of the number of documents issued in the past ten years,and has shown professional and regional characteristics in terms of core authors and key institutions;From the perspective of research achievements,the focus has been on achieving six major achievements:academic interpretation,infrastructure connectivity,economic and trade cooperation,industrial finance,cultural exchange,and global governance.It has shown a paradigm shift from traditional economic and trade geopolitics to new global governance,relying on a single discipline to integrate multiple disciplines,and from qualitative research to quantitative research;From the perspective of the future,we should focus on the transformation along the trend of building an independent knowledge system,meeting the needs of Chinese path to modernization,highlighting rule making and mechanism building,strengthening emergency response and risk risk,and actively combining with emerging research topics.