摘要
This paper analyzed characteristics of Pingliang City's continuous hot weather from late spring to early summer in 2009.The result showed that,when the daily maximum temperature in some parts of cities had run up to 32℃ or above,the number of days reached the top in recent 40 years.The average temperature,average maximum temperature,surface maximum temperature and surface average temperature in most parts of the city broke history record.Based on the analysis of characteristics of the 500 hPa circulation,which resulted in durative high temperature weather,3 kinds of the high temperature circulation patterns were summarized.It was the continental warm high pressure that resulted in the durative high temperature weather in June,2009.Meanwhile,by using European numerical forecast product and MOS,the forecasting method of high temperature,from June to August,was set up.The method had been used in June,and its high-temperature forecasting accuracy in 24,48,72,96,120 hours had respectively amounted to 76.6%,69.5%,61.4%,58.1% and 51.9%.
This paper analyzed characteristics of Pingliang City's continuous hot weather from late spring to early summer in 2009.The result showed that,when the daily maximum temperature in some parts of cities had run up to 32℃ or above,the number of days reached the top in recent 40 years.The average temperature,average maximum temperature,surface maximum temperature and surface average temperature in most parts of the city broke history record.Based on the analysis of characteristics of the 500 hPa circulation,which resulted in durative high temperature weather,3 kinds of the high temperature circulation patterns were summarized.It was the continental warm high pressure that resulted in the durative high temperature weather in June,2009.Meanwhile,by using European numerical forecast product and MOS,the forecasting method of high temperature,from June to August,was set up.The method had been used in June,and its high-temperature forecasting accuracy in 24,48,72,96,120 hours had respectively amounted to 76.6%,69.5%,61.4%,58.1% and 51.9%.
基金
Supported by Science and Research Program of Gansu Meteorology Bureau (2010-19)
