摘要
In order to get the spatial grid data of monthly precipitation and monthly average temperature of Sanjiangyuan area, the Co-Kriging (COK) and thin plate smoothing splines(TPS) interpolation methods were applied by using the climate data during 1971-2000 of 58 meteorological stations around Qinghai Province and the 3 arc-second digital elevation model (DEM) data. The performance was evaluated by the smallest statistical errors by general cross validation (GCV). Root-mean-squared predicted errors (RMSE) and mean absolute errors (MAE) were used to compare the performance of the two methods. The results showed that: 1) After combing covariates into the models, both methods performed better; 2) The performance of TPS was significantly better than COK: for monthly average temperature, the RMSE derived from TPS was 69.48% higher than COK, as MAE increased by 70.56%. And for monthly precipitation, the RMSE derived from TPS was 28.07% higher than COK, as MAE increased by 29.06%.
In order to get the spatial grid data of monthly precipitation and monthly average temperature of Sanjiangyuan area, the Co-Kriging (COK) and thin plate smoothing splines(TPS) interpolation methods were applied by using the climate data during 1971-2000 of 58 meteorological stations around Qinghai Province and the 3 arc-second digital elevation model (DEM) data. The performance was evaluated by the smallest statistical errors by general cross validation (GCV). Root-mean-squared predicted errors (RMSE) and mean absolute errors (MAE) were used to compare the performance of the two methods. The results showed that: 1) After combing covariates into the models, both methods performed better; 2) The performance of TPS was significantly better than COK: for monthly average temperature, the RMSE derived from TPS was 69.48% higher than COK, as MAE increased by 70.56%. And for monthly precipitation, the RMSE derived from TPS was 28.07% higher than COK, as MAE increased by 29.06%.
基金
Supported by Forestry Science and Technology Support Project (2008BADB0B0203)
National Technology Support Project (2007BAC03A08-5)