电力系统负荷预测研究综述与发展方向的探讨被引量：503

REVIEW OF POWER SYSTEM LOAD FORECASTING AND ITS DEVELOPMENT

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摘要负荷预测是电力系统规划、计划、用电、调度等部门的基础工作。讨论了年度负荷预测、月度负荷预测和短期负荷预测的特点、成熟方法,分析了负荷预测问题的各种解决方案,并指出未来的主要研究方向。根据国内电力系统负荷预测的实践和国外的经验,对我国开展电力系统负荷预测工作提出了一些建议。 Load forecasting is the foundation of power system planning and operation. By classifying it into yearly, monthly and short-term forecasting, the characteristics and ever presented forecasting models are discussed in this paper. Furthermore, the description and its solution process of these forecasting questions are analyzed. The main issues of future researches on this field are pointed out. Based on these discussions and the experience of other countries, some advice is given on how to promote load forecasting in China.

作者康重庆夏清张伯明

机构地区清华大学电机系

出处《电力系统自动化》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2004年第17期1-11,共11页 Automation of Electric Power Systems

基金国家自然科学基金资助项目(50377016) 清华大学基础研究基金资助课题(JC2002018)

关键词电力系统负荷预测模型参数辨识 power systems load forecasting model parameter identification

分类号 TM715 [电气工程—电力系统及自动化]

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