摘要
To determine the dynamic influence range of emergencies under special events, the spacial and temporal characteristics of the traffic flow are studied by simulation based on the cell transmission model （CTM）. Based on the traffic management measures used under special events, a semi-dynamic assignment algorithm is proposed, which is combined with an algorithm for logit multi-path traffic assignment and the CTM. In a simple calculation network, the spacial and temporal characteristics of traffic flows which vary with different traffic management schemes are studied, and a method to obtain the influence range of emergency is proposed by computing the jam time of the intersections. By contrasting the average delay of each vehicle, the dissipation effect is studied under two different traffic management schemes. The example shows that the spatial and temporal variety of the traffic flow can be easily simulated and the influence range of emergency can be confirmed by the method based on the CTM. The proposed method provides a new idea for decision-making on traffic management under emergency under special events.
为了确定大型活动下突发事件的交通影响范围,以元胞传输模型(CTM)为基础,对大型活动中消散过程中交通流时空分布状况进行模拟研究.结合突发事件下常用的交通管制和疏导措施的特点,将静态多路径交通分配方法与元胞传输模型结合,设计出适合突发事件下的准动态交通分配方法.以一个小规模路网为研究对象,通过仿真研究了大型活动条件下路网交通流随交通控制方案的实时调整而变化的时空规律,提出了依据突发事件下各交叉口节点的拥堵时刻划定突发事件交通影响范围的方法.通过对比车辆的平均延误指标,研究了不同交通管控方案下交通拥堵的疏散效率.算例结果表明,基于CTM的准动态交通分配方法可以细致地描述路网中任一位置交通流的时空变化,确定突发事件的动态影响范围,可以为大型活动突发事件下交通组织方案的制定和评价提供定量依据.
基金
The National High Technology Research and Development Program of China(863 Program)(No.2007AA11Z210)
