基于灰色变结构控制的中国产业结构优化模型及分析研究

Analysis and Research on China's Industrial Structure Optimization Model based on Grey Variable Structure Control

将灰因素引入到变结构控制动态投入产出模型,建立了一个灰色变结构控制动态投入产出模型。对该模型附加必要约束条件之后,构建了以经济增长和能源节约为目标的产业结构优化模型,并对中国进行了实证分析。结果表明:中国第一产业比重下降过快,投资倾向过高,而消费倾向过低。

By introducing gray factors into the input-output dynamic model which is based on invariable structure control,this paper establishes a gray dynamic model.After adding necessary constraints,an optimal model of gray variable structure control is established.This model is aimed at economic growth and energy conservation.And then an empirical analysis of China is conducted.The results show that the proportion of primary industry has dropped too fast,marginal propensity to consume is too low,but marginal propensity to invest is too high.