基于贝叶斯网络的后勤装备维修合同商保障风险识别与评估

Risk Identification and Evaluation of Logistics Equipment Maintenance Contractor Support Based on Bayesian Network

在分析影响后勤装备维修合同商保障能力的合同商源头风险、部队运作风险、双方协作风险的指标及诱因的基础上,提出了贝叶斯网络的合同商风险识别模型,并从定性的角度,构建了基于贝叶斯网络的风险评估模型,为部队在选择后勤装备合同商保障过程中提供重要参考。

Based on the analysis of the contractor source risk,army operation risk,and cooperation risk index and cause between army and contractor,which influences the support ability of logistics equipment maintenance contractor,this paper puts forward Bayesian network risk identification model,and constructs risk evaluation model based on Bayesian network through qualitative analysis.Therefore,it can provide important reference for the army to select logistics equipment maintenance contractor.