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基于时间序列分析的Web Service QoS预测方法 被引量：21

Web Service QoS Prediction Method Based on Time Series Analysis
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摘要 通过网络提供服务的Web Service的服务质量会随着网络环境、服务器负载等因素的变化而变化,如何更好地帮助用户选择在未来一段时间内符合服务质量需求的Web Service,是目前服务计算领域中需要解决的关键问题之一。针对上述问题,提出了一种基于时间序列分析的Web Service QoS预测方法,并实现了相应的Web Service QoS自动预测工具。该工具能够根据Web Service的历史QoS数据,有效地预测未来短期内的QoS信息。以17832个Web Service的历史数据为基础,设计了相关实验,并验证了方法的有效性。 The QoS （quality of service） of Web services will fluctuate according to the variations of Internet environment and server loads. Therefore, the key question in the service computing areas is how to help users select appropriate Web Service. This paper presents a Web Service QoS prediction method based on time series analysis to address the above question. And it accomplishes the tool of predicting Web Service QoS automatically. This tool can predict the QoS information in the short future according to the historic data of Web Service. And the experiments verify the effectiveness of the method based on the historic data from 17832 services.
作者 华哲邦 李萌 赵俊峰 谢冰
机构地区 北京大学信息科学技术学院 高可信软件技术教育部重点实验室
出处 《计算机科学与探索》 CSCD 2013年第3期218-226,共9页 Journal of Frontiers of Computer Science and Technology
基金 国家自然科学基金 No.61121063 国家重点基础研究发展规划(973) No.2011CB302604 国家高技术研究发展计划(863) No.2012AA011202 质检公益性行业科研专项 No.201210256 广东省产学研结合项目 No.2010A090200031~~
关键词 WEB SERVICE 服务质量(QoS) 预测 自回归求和移动平均(ARIMA) 时间序列 Web Service quality of service （QoS） prediction autoregressive integrated moving average （ARIMA） time series
分类号 TP301 [自动化与计算机技术—计算机系统结构]
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参考文献10

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同被引文献112

引证文献21

二级引证文献42

计算机科学与探索
2013年 第3期

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