环境群体性事件的网络舆情扩散动力学机制分析——以“昆明PX事件”为例

The Analysis of Dynamic Mechanism about the Spread of Online Public Opinion about Environmental Mass Incidents——take the Case of Kunming PX as an Example

在目前愈演愈烈的环境群体性事件这个背景下,以社会运动的心理、理性取向为理论指导,以系统动力学为分析工具,以"昆明PX事件"为案例,构建了网络舆情扩散动力学机制作为系统动力学的研究框架,对环境群体性事件进行了系统仿真分析,并根据分析结果为预防和治理环境群体性事件提出了建议。

At present, there are some group events about environment in China. In this paper,we take social movements （rational, psy- chological） as the theoretical guidance, system dynamics as tools. Taking Kunming PX as an example, we construct system dynamics re- search framework of network public opinion diffuse. Then we simulate the analyses of system dynamic with the spread of online public o- pinion. Finally, according to the analysis results of research, we put forward some suggestions of the practical and specific measures to prevent ,manage the environmental mass incidents.