出口贸易对中韩经济增长的影响

Influence of Export Trade on Economic Growth between China and South Korea

本文从出口贸易国内增加值的视角测算中韩两国出口贸易对GDP的贡献率,剖析两国出口贸易结构方面的变化,分产业和部门测算两国由出口贸易形成的GDP、出口贸易对GDP形成的贡献率、单位出口贡献系数、出口增长对GDP增长的贡献率。研究显示中韩双边贸易中产业内贸易只在少数部门发生,中韩在贸易领域间合作空间很大。中韩两国应注意贸易结构内部的变化,尤其要转变主要贸易部门的结构,这对于资源共享、优势互补和产业结构更新升级,使出口增长正向拉动经济增长会起到重要作用。

From the perspective of the domestic value added of export trade,this article proposes a method to calculate the contribution rate of export trade to GDP,analyzes the change of the structure of export trade between the two countries and estimates the GDP formed by export trade between the two countries divided into industries and departments,the contribution rate of export trade to GDP,contribution rate of unit export contribution coefficient and export growth to GDP growth. Research shows the intra industry trade is only in a small number of departments in the bilateral trade between China and South Korea,therefore,the cooperation space in the field of trade between the two countries is very large. China and South Korea should pay more attention to internal trade structure changes and change the structure of the main trading sector particularly,which helps to give full play to resource sharing,complementary advantages and upgrading the industrial structure,making export growth drive economic growth positively.