摘要
A model which incorporates some of the basic epidemiological features of the co- dynamics of malaria and tuberculosis (TB) is formulated and the effectiveness of current intervention strategies of these two diseases is analyzed. The malaria-only and TB-only models are considered first. Global stability disease-free steady states of the two sub- models does not hold due to the co-existence of stable disease-free with stable endemic equilibria, a phenomenon known as backward bifurcation. The dynamics of the dual malari^TB model with intervention strategies are also analyzed. Numerical simulations of the malaria-TB model are carried out to determine whether the two diseases can co- exist. Lastly, sensitivity analysis on key parameters that drive the disease dynamics is performed in order to identify their relative importance to disease transmission.