新型冠状病毒感染疫情背景下农民工复工行为选择分析

Analysis on the behavior of resumption of migrant workers’work under the Covid-19 epidemic

基于多维视角的人类行为理论,使用2020年5月对农民工调查得到的632份数据,通过建立Probit-ISM模型和多元Logit模型,分别对新型冠状病毒感染疫情背景下农民工是否复工和复工类型的影响因素展开实证分析。结果表明,农民工复工情况总体较好且以回到原单位为主;就业风险认知是其复工行为选择的直接驱动因素,个人、环境与制度等因素则是间接影响因素。政府应建立健全多层次农民工社会保障体系,降低农民工失业风险,提高就业质量。

Based on the theory of human behavior from a multi-dimensional perspective,and 632 survey data of resumption of migrant workers’work in May 2020,the Probit-ISM model was used to analyze the factors affecting whether migrant workers returned to work,and the multiple Logit model was used to analyze the factors affecting the types of work resumed.The results showed that the situation of migrant workers returning to work was generally good and they mainly returned to their original units.The cognition of employment risk was the direct driving factor of their choice of resumption behavior,while individual,environment and institution were the indirect influencing factors.The government should establish and improve the multi-level social security system for migrant workers,reduce the unemployment risk of migrant workers and improve the quality of employment.