2023年上半年中国马铃薯市场形势回顾和后期展望

China's Potato Market Situation in the First Half of 2023 and Its Future Prospects

受库存薯市场供应偏紧和冬薯主产区遭受低温灾害天气影响,2023年上半年前期马铃薯价格同比偏高;在种植规模缩减和灾害天气影响共同作用下,春季马铃薯价格较上年明显上涨;从近10年同期数值来看,2023年上半年马铃薯总体价格水平处于最高位。由于2023年6—8月马铃薯市场供应主体为2023年产季春季马铃薯,预计薯价仍将高于上年同期水平;9—12月,马铃薯市场供应主体为2023年产季秋季马铃薯,在不发生大规模、持续性自然灾害的情况下,马铃薯市场价格预计同比下跌。目前中国马铃薯产业仍存在育种短板突出、种植收益波动大和优质优价机制不健全等值得关注的问题。基于此,建议各地加大马铃薯育种研发、完善马铃薯收益保障机制以及加快农业品牌培育,进一步推动中国马铃薯产业持续健康发展。

Due to the tight supply of inventory potatoes in the market and the impact of low temperature disasters in the main production areas of winter potatoes,potato prices in the first half of 2023 were relatively high year-on-year;under the combined effects of reduced planting scale and disaster weather,the price of potatoes in spring has significantly increased compared to last year;from the same period of the past 10 years,the overall price level of potatoes in the first half of 2023 was at its highest level.From June to August 2023,because the main supplier of potatoes in the potato market will be spring potatoes from the 2023 production season,it is expected that the price of potatoes will still be higher than the same period last year;from September to December,the main supplier of potatoes in the potato market is autumn potatoes from the 2023 production season.Without large-scale and sustained natural disasters,it is expected that the potato market price will decline year-on-year.At present,there are still problems worth paying attention to in China's potato industry,such as prominent breeding shortcomings,large fluctuations in planting profits,and inadequate mechanisms for quality and good prices.Based on this,suggestions were put forward from increasing research and development of potato breeding,improving the mechanism for ensuring potato revenue,and accelerating the cultivation of agricultural brands in all regions to further promote the sustainable and healthy development of China's potato industry.