RCEP实施对我国笔记本电脑产业发展的机遇与挑战

Opportunities and Challenges of RCEP Implementation for China’s Laptop Computer Industry

笔记本电脑产业是供应链高水平国际化分工的产业。目前,中国已成为全球笔记本电脑产业的重要生产制造中心。通过对国家间的区域显示性比较优势(RRCA指数)、相对贸易优势(RTA指数)和竞争优势(LFI指数)进行匹配分析,探讨RCEP成员国在笔记本电脑产业的贸易竞争优势与贸易潜力。研究发现:中国与澳大利亚、新西兰、日本、新加坡等RCEP成员国相比,在笔记本电脑产业处于强优势。中国与越南、马来西亚在笔记本电脑产业相比处于弱优势。中国与RCEP其他成员国相比,在笔记本电脑产业处于平均优势。基于复杂网络分析,RCEP成员国间的笔记本电脑贸易网络表现出明显的“小世界”网络现象。从实践的角度来看,该研究有助于我国更好应对RCEP可能对笔记本电脑产业带来的挑战,并为分析RCEP协定下相关产业的贸易优势与潜力提供了参考。

Laptop computer industry is an industry with high-level international division of labor in supply chain.At present,China has become an important manufacturing center of the global laptop computer industry.Based on the RRCA index,RTA index and LFI index,this study analyzes the trade competitive advantage and trade potential of RCEP member countries in the laptop computer industry.The research finds that China has a strong advantage in the laptop computer industry compared with Australia,New Zealand,Japan,Singapore and other RCEP countries.China is at a weak advantage compared with Vietnam and Malaysia in the laptop computer industry.Compared with other RCEP member countries,China has an average advantage in the laptop computer industry.Based on complex network analysis,the laptop computer trade network among RCEP member countries shows an obvious“small-world”network phenomenon.From a practical point of view,this study will help China better cope with the challenges RCEP may bring to the laptop computer industry,and provide a reference for analyzing the trade advantages and potential of relevant industries under the RCEP agreement.