产业转型升级、城乡收入差距与居民消费

The Industrial Transformation and Upgrading,Urban-rural Income Gap and ResidentsConsumption

居民消费是畅通国内大循环的关键环节和重要引擎,产业转型升级优化了消费供给。本文实证分析了产业转型升级对居民消费的直接影响,以及通过城乡收入差距所产生的间接影响。研究发现,经济高质量发展期间,产业转型升级显著促进居民消费;城乡收入差距在产业转型升级和居民消费间的中介效应显著,产业转型升级会通过缩小城乡收入差距间接促进居民消费;产业转型升级对居民消费的影响以及城乡收入差距的中介效应均存在区域异质性,西部地区的直接影响和中介影响均强于中部和东部地区。因此,应该通过供给侧为居民提供丰富、高质量的商品,满足人民日益增长的消费需求;通过产业转型升级带动就业,提高劳动力收入,缩小城乡收入差距,同时积极防范部分地区在实施产业转型升级政策时出现扩大城乡收入差距等问题。

Resident consumption is a key link and an important engine to smooth the domestic circulation,and industrial transformation and upgrading have optimized consumption supply.The study found that during the period of high-quality economic development,industrial transformation and upgrading significantly promoted residentsconsumption;The urban-rural income gap has a significant intermediary effect between industrial transformation and upgrading and residentsconsumption.The industrial transformation and upgrading will indirectly promote residentsconsumption by narrowing the urban-rural income gap;The impact of industrial transformation and upgrading on residentsconsumption and the intermediary effect of urban-rural income gap have regio⁃nal heterogeneity.The direct and intermediary effects in the western region are stronger than those in the central and eastern regions.Therefore,on the one hand,we should provide residents with rich and high-quality goods to meet the growing consumer demand of the people through the supply side,on the other hand,we should drive employment through industrial transformation and upgra⁃ding,improve labor income,and actively narrow the urban-rural income gap,while actively preventing some regions from expan⁃ding the urban-rural income gap when implementing industrial transformation and upgrading policies.