TOE视角下区域数字贸易发展异质性路径比较分析——基于31个地区的fsQCA方法

Comparative Analysis on the Heterogeneity Paths of Regional Digital Trade Development from the Perspective of TOE——fsQCA Analysis Based on 31 Regions

数字贸易为我国外贸转型提供新业态与新模式,然而区域数字贸易发展却呈现异质性路径。文章基于TOE视角,采用模糊集定性分析方法(fsQCA)探索我国区域数字贸易发展的异质路径、驱动因素及其联动效应。研究发现:区域数字贸易是数字技术进步(T)、区域经济组织(O)与发展环境(E)的异质性耦合关系的呈现,单个前因条件不能构成区域数字贸易高水平发展的必要条件。具体表现为4种路径:信息化推动企业组织结构与经济开放发展的耦合;信息化推动企业成长与产业结构优化的耦合;信息化推动产业结构优化与经济开放发展的耦合;政府支持推动产业结构优化与经济开放发展的耦合。区域数字贸易的发展应采用因地制宜的政策,该研究兼具理论与实际价值,不仅丰富了数字经济体制机制的理论探索,也为经济下行下的国际贸易稳定提供对策思路。

Digital trade provides new forms and models for the transformation of China's foreign trade,but the development of regional digital trade presents heterogeneous paths.Based on the TOE perspective,this paper uses the fuzzy set Qualitative Comparative Analysis method(fsQCA)to explore the heterogeneous paths,driving factors and linkage effects of China's regional digital trade development.The study finds that regional digital trade is the manifestation of the heterogeneous coupling relationship between digital technology progress(T),regional economic organization(O)and development environment(E).Specifically,there are four modes:informatization promotes the coupling of enterprise organizational structure and economic opening and development;informatization promotes the coupling of enterprise growth and industrial structure optimization;informatization promotes the coupling of industrial structure optimization and economic opening and development;the government's support promotes the coupling of industrial structure optimization and economic opeing and development.The development of regional digital trade should adopt the policy of adjusting measures to local conditions.This study has both theoretical and practical value,which not only enriches the theoretical exploration of the digital economic system mechanism,but also provides countermeasures for the stability of international trade under the impact of the economic downturn.