长江经济带居民共同富裕与旅游发展水平耦合关系及影响因素研究

The coupling and influencing factors between the commonprosperity of residents and the level of tourismdevelopment in the Yangtze River Economic Belt

实现居民共同富裕是中国式现代化的本质要求,旅游业作为幸福产业,如何促进居民共同富裕与旅游发展水平协调共进成为当前研究的重点问题.该文以长江经济带为研究区域,构建了居民共同富裕与旅游发展水平指标体系,并基于耦合协调模型和时空地理加权回归模型(GTWR),考察分析2011—2020年居民共同富裕与旅游发展水平关系及其影响因素.结果发现:1)长江经济带旅游发展水平研究期内整体呈波动上升趋势,2020年因受疫情影响而出现跌落,居民共同富裕水平则呈整体逐年上升趋势;两者均呈现出显著空间异质性,但中上游地区旅游发展水平相近.2)居民共同富裕与旅游发展水平耦合协调水平呈波动上升趋势,重庆和贵州两地上升较快,2020年各省市受到疫情影响有所下降;下游地区高于其他地区.3) GTWR模型表明,人口密度、环境治理投入、旅游收入占比、人均GDP因素存在明显的时空差异,不同时期各因素对地区影响强度和波动方向不同,其中人均GDP影响为正向且影响作用较强.

Realization of common prosperity of residents is the essential requirement of Chinese modernization.As a happy industry,how to promote common prosperity of residents and the coordination of tourism development level has become a key issue of current research.Taking the Yangtze River Economic Belt as the research area,the index system of residents common prosperity and tourism development level was constructed.Based on the coupled coordination model and the spatio-temporal weighted regression model(GTWR),the relationship between residents common prosperity and tourism development level and its influencing factors were investigated from 2011 to 2020.Results are showen as follows.1)The tourism development level of the Yangtze River Economic Belt showed an overall trend of fluctuating upward trend during the study period,and it dropped in 2020 due to the impact of the epidemic.The common prosperity of residents increased year by year.Both of them exhibited significant spatial heterogeneity,but the tourism development level in the middle and upper reaches was similar.2)The coupled coordination level of residents common prosperity and tourism development showed a fluctuating upward trend,with a rapid increase in Chongqing and Guizhou,and a decrease in 2020 due to the impact of the epidemic;the downstream area is higher than other areas.3)The GTWR model shows that population density,investment in environmental governance,proportion of tourism income and per capita GDP have obvious spatial and temporal differences,and the influence intensity and fluctuation direction of each factor are different in different periods,among which the influence of per capita GDP is positive and strong.