水下平台潜在区域威胁评估方法

Researchon Potential Regional Threat Assessment Methods for Underwater Platform

为进一步提升对水下平台任务过程的复盘量化分析能力,分析开展水下平台潜在任务空间区域威胁评估迫切需求,讨论了水下平台潜在活动区域所面临的主要威胁因素和典型海洋环境影响因素;从威胁评估特征分析及指标体系构建、贝叶斯网络构造与推理以及威胁评估仿真实验设计3方面论述了水下平台潜在区域威胁评估方法,给出了水下平台潜在区域威胁评估典型实验过程及结果;对水下平台潜在区域威胁评估方法在水下平台任务复盘评估保障应用前景进行了展望。

To improve the capability of review and quantitative analysis of the underwater platform task process,at first,the urgent requirements on potential regional threat assessment for underwater platform is analyzed,the main threat factors and typical marine envi-ronmental influential factors for underwater platform performing tasks in potential areas are discussed.Then,the assessment methods,which involve characteristic analysis and index system construction of threat assessment,Bayes network construction and reasoning,design of simulation experiment,are pro-posed and typical experiment process and results of potential regional threat assessment of underwater platform are given.Finally,the application prospect of the regional threat assessment method of the un-derwater platform on the review and assessment support of underwater platform mission is forecast.