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川崎病冠状动脉损害的早期识别及其与单核细胞与HDL-C比值的关系

Early recognition of coronary artery lesion in Kawasaki disease and its relationship with monocyte to HDL-C ratio
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摘要 目的:探讨川崎病(KD)冠状动脉损害(CAL)的早期识别及其与单核细胞与高密度脂蛋白胆固醇(HDL-C)比值(MHR)的关系。方法:选取2019年6月至2022年6月于南通大学附属医院住院治疗的KD患儿216例作为研究对象,分为训练集(162例)和测试集(54例),收集患儿临床资料。根据超声心动图诊断结果将训练集患儿分为CAL组(45例)和NCAL组(117例),比较两组患儿临床资料和实验室检查结果的差异,Logistic回归法分析KD患儿发生CAL的危险因素,采用Pearson分析KD患儿MHR与CAL的相关性。再按照MHR三分位数将CAL组患儿分为低MHR组(≤0.28)、中MHR组(0.29~0.42)和高MHR组(≥0.43),并进行分析比较。Cox回归模型分析KD患儿MHR与CAL风险的关系,并依据KD患儿发生CAL的独立危险因素构建预测模型。结果:162例KD患儿均有发热表现,且夏季为高发病期;与NCAL组相比,CAL组在年龄、性别、发热时间、KD分型、MHR、WBC、PLT、NLR、CRP方面差异有统计学意义(均P<0.05);Pearson相关分析显示,MHR与CAL组患儿冠状动脉扩张程度呈显著正相关(r=0.743,P=0.001),高MHR组KD患儿并发CAL风险显著高于低MHR组(HR=2.857,95%CI:1.329~6.431,P=0.003);Logistic回归分析显示,性别、发热时间、MHR、WBC、NLR及CRP是KD患儿并发CAL的独立危险因素;基于CAL的独立危险因素构建预测模型:Logit(P)=1.342+0.359×性别+0.181×发热时间+1.064×MHR+0.459×WBC+0.146×NLR+0.211×CRP,P=e logit(P)/1+e logit(P),该模型(AUC=0.874,95%CI:0.799~0.892),与测试集比较(AUC=0.881,95%CI:0.785~0.913),差异无统计学意义(P>0.05);MHR预测KD患儿并发CAL的AUC=0.796,灵敏度为0.896,特异度为0.824,其以作为KD患儿并发CAL的早期预测因子。结论:MHR在诊断KD患儿并发CAL中具有一定的预测价值,并能在一定程度上反映KD患儿并发CAL程度,因此临床上应及时关注KD患儿MHR变化。 Objective:To investigate the early recognition of coronary artery lesions(CAL)in Kawasaki disease(KD)and its relationship with monocyte/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol(HDL-C)ratio(MHR).Methods:A total of 216 children with KD who were hospitalized in Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from June 2019 to June 2022 were selected as the research subjects,and divided into training set(162 cases)and test set(54 cases).The clinical data of the children were collected,and the children in the training set were divided into the CAL group(45 cases)and the NCAL group(117 cases)according to the diagnostic results of echo-cardiography,and the differences in clinical data and laboratory test results were compared between the two groups;Logistic regres-sion analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of CAL in children with KD;Pearson was used to analyze the correlation between MHR and CAL in children with KD.According to the MHR quantile,the children in the CAL group were divided into low MHR group(≤0.28),medium MHR group(0.29~0.42)and high MHR group(≥0.43),and they were analyzed and compared.Cox regression model was used to analyze the relationship between MHR and CAL risk in children with KD,and a predictive model was constructed based on the independent risk factors of CAL in children with KD.Results:There were 162 KD children with fever,and summer was a high incidence period;compared with the NCAL group,the CAL group had statistically significant differences in age,gender,fever time,KD type,MHR,WBC,PLT,NLR,and CRP(all P<0.05);Pearson correlation analysis showed that MHR was positively cor-related with the degree of coronary artery dilatation in children with CAL(r=0.743,P=0.001).and the risk of CAL in the KD children in the high MHR group was significantly higher than that in the low MHR group(HR=2.857,95%CI:1.329~6.431,P=0.003);Logis-tic regression analysis showed that gender,fever time,MHR,WBC,NLR and CRP were independent risk factors for CAL in children with KD.A prediction model was constructed based on the independent risk factors of CAL:Logit(P)=1.342+0.359×gender+0.181×ever time+1.064×MHR+0.459×WBC+0.146×NLR+0.211×CRP,P·=e logit(P)/1+e logit(P),the AUC of this model was 0.874(95%CI:0.799~0.892),compared with the test set(AUC was 0.881,95%CI:0.785~0.913),the difference was not statistically sig-nificant(P>0.05);the AUC of MHR for predicting CAL in children with KD was 0.796,the sensitivity was 0.896,and the specificity was 0.824,which could be used as an early predictor of CAL in children with KD.Conclusion:MHR has a certain predictive value in the diagnosis of CAL in children with KD,and can reflect the degree of CAL in children with KD to a certain extent.Therefore,it is necessary to pay attention to the changes of MHR in children with KD in clinical practice.
作者 陈尚明 黄海英 金爱琴 龚红蕾 CHEN Shangming;HUANG Haiying;JIN Aiqin;GONG Honglei(Department of Pediatrics,Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University,Nantong 226001,China)
出处 《中国免疫学杂志》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第11期2380-2385,共6页 Chinese Journal of Immunology
关键词 川崎病 冠状动脉损害 单核细胞与HDL-C比值 早期识别 相关性 Kawasaki disease Coronary artery lesion Monocyte to HDL-C ratio Early recognition Relationship
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