基于文献计量法的西瓜价格研究进展

Research Progress of Watermelon Price Based on Bibliometric Method

为梳理国内西瓜产业的价格研究进展,阐述发展历程和现状,为今后的研究提供方向,采用文献计量法和内容分析法对256篇文献的时间分布、期刊分布及研究层次进行分析,依据研究层次时间序列和国家政策,将国内对于西瓜价格的研究分为3个阶段,第一阶段为行业指导阶段(1982—2003年),主要以行业指导和价格调控的政策研究为主;第二阶段为学术研究与行业指导相结合阶段(2004—2007年),信息披露、行业指导性文献达到顶峰,基础研究开始出现;第三阶段为深入理论分析阶段(2008—2018年),以基础研究为主。各阶段演进具有传承性和创新性。最后从价格预测、风险和不确定性、西瓜精深加工发展、建立价格指数的视角对西瓜产业价格的研究前景进行展望。

The paper aims to hackle the research progress on the price of domestic watermelon industry,expound its history and present situation,to provide direction for further research.We analyzed the publishing time and journal distribution,research themes and subjects of 256 papers by bibliometric and content analysis,and found that there are three research stages of the watermelon price in China.The first is the guidance for industry(1982-2003),focusing on industry guidance and price control policy research;then is the industry guidance combined with academic research(2004-2007),industry guidance literature reached its peak,fundamental research began to appear;and the last one is the thorough theoretical analysis(2008-2018),mainly fundamental research.The evolution of those stages shows the nature of inheritance and innovation.In the end,we discuss the prospect of the watermelon price research from the aspects of price prediction,risk and uncertainty,the development of refined and deep processing of watermelon and the establishment of price indexes.