农地流转是否推动了农户的消费结构优化?——来自CFPS2018年的经验证据

Has Farmland Transfer Promoted the Optimization of Rural Households'Consumption Structure?——Empirical Evidence from CFPS2018

本文利用中国家庭追踪调查(China Family Panel Studies,CFPS)2018年微观调查数据库中的15947户农户样本数据,系统探究了农地流转对农户消费结构优化的影响。研究结果表明:一是农地转出对非食品性消费的系数为0.105,大于对食品性消费的系数0.052,农地转出有利于推动农户的消费结构优化。二是农地转入对食品性消费的系数为0.034,且在5%水平上显著,但是对非食品性消费的系数为-0.015,没有通过显著性检验,农地转入不利于推动农户的消费结构优化。三是农地流转通过影响不同生计方式选择下的农户收入进而作用于其消费结构。四是东部省份地区农地转出户消费水平已经处在第Ⅱ阶段,中部与西部省份地区农地转出户消费水平刚迈入到第Ⅱ阶段,东部、中部与西部省份地区农地转入户消费水平均处在第Ⅰ阶段。五是粮食主产区农地转出户消费水平刚迈入到第Ⅱ阶段,非粮食主产区农地转出户消费水平已经处在第Ⅱ阶段,粮食主产区与非粮食主产区农地转入户消费水平均处在第Ⅰ阶段。因此,未来有必要针对不同类别的农地流转以及不同省份地区的农户采取适当的提高消费能力和消费水平的政策,不断优化农户的消费结构。

Using the sample data of 15947 rural households in the micro survey database of the China Family Panel Studies(CFPS)in 2018,this paper system-atically explores the impact of farmland transfer on the optimization of rural households'consumption structure.The research results indicate that:Firstly,the coffcient of farmland transfer-out for non-food consumption is 0.105,which is greater than the coeffcient of 0.052 for food consumption.Farmland transfer-out is conducive to promoting the optimization of rural households'consumption structure.The second is that the coefficient of farmland transfer-in on food consumption is 0.034,which is significant at the 5%level.However,the coefficient of nonfood consumption is-0.015,which does not pass the significance test.Therefore,farmland transfer-in is not conducive to promoting the optimization of rural households'consumption structure.Thirdly,farmland transfer affects the consumption structure by affecting the income of rural households with different livelihood options.Fourthly,the consumption level of farmland transfer-out households in the eastern provinces and regions is already in the second stage.The consumption level of farmland transfer-out households in the central and western provinces and regions has just entered the second stage,and the consumption level of farmland transfer-in households in the eastern,central,and western provinces and regions is all in the first stage.Fifthly,the consumption level of farmland transfer-out households in the main grain producing areas has just entered the second stage.The consumption level of farmland transfer-out households in non-grain producing areas is already in the second stage,and the consumption level of farmland transfer-in households in both grain producing and non-grain producing areas is in the first stage.Therefore,it is necessary to adopt appropriate policies to improve consumption capacity and level for different types of farmland transfer and rural households in provinces and regions in the future,and continuously optimize the consumption structure of rural households.