国民联盟执政以来马来西亚政党关系变化分析

An Analysis of the Changes of Political Party Relations in Malaysia since the Perikatan Nasional was in Power

本文首先通过政治光谱分析法对比希望联盟执政时期与国民联盟执政时期马来西亚不同政党在国会下议院议席数量、执政党和在野党阵线组成结构的变化。继而分析国民联盟执政以来马来西亚政党关系的主要新特点,具体表现为:右派势力重新掌权、"两线"政治博弈加剧、政党阵线内部结构更为松散、政党体制表现出部分"共识型"民主特征。最后,根据马来西亚政党关系变化的新特点,对马来西亚第十五届大选以后的政党关系进行简单预测。

This paper will use political spectrum analysis to compare the number of seats of different political parties in the Dewan Rakyat Malaysia and the structural changes of the ruling party alliance and the opposition party alliance in Malaysia during the period of the Pakatan Harapan government and the period of the Perikatan Nasional government.Since the Perikatan Nasional came into power,the political party relationships in Malaysia show new features:the Right parties in power again,a more intensive power game between“two political leagues”,a much looser political structure in one of the“two political leagues”,consensus democracy of the party system in Malaysia.Finally,according to the new features of political party relations in Malaysia,this paper will make a simple prediction of the political party relations after the next general election in Malaysia.