摘要
关键提示我们对人民币汇率的总体判断是2020年波动性将继续增大,人民币对美元波动区间预计在6.75-7.35之间,全年小幅升值的概率较大。2019年人民币汇率走势回顾2019年全球经济同步放缓,美联储引领全球货币宽松,但政治事件扰动市场情绪,美元指数高位震荡,人民币对美元以及人民币汇率指数整体呈贬值态势。总体来看,2019年人民币汇率市场呈现以下几点特征.
Our overall assessment of the RMB exchange rate is that the volatility will continue to increase in 2020,with the RMB trading range against the US dollar expected to be between 6.75 and 7.35,with a high probability of a small appreciation for the whole year.In the outlook of 2020,the factors conducive to the stabilization of the RMB exchange rate against the US dollar are increasing.First,the easing of trade frictions between China and the US is conducive to stabilizing financial market expectations.Second,global financial capital is optimistic about China’s development prospects,and foreign investors are increasing their holdings of domestic financial assets.China-US relations still face many challenges in the future.It is foreseeable that China-US economic and trade negotiations will enter a deep water zone,and the game between the two sides will become more intense.
出处
《中国远洋海运》
2020年第2期56-57,8,共3页
Maritime China
