安徽省工业碳排放与经济增长的相关性分析——基于EKC模型和Tapio模型

Correlation Analysis of Industrial Carbon Emissions and Economic Growth in Anhui Province——Based on EKC Model and Tapio Model

为有效识别安徽省工业碳排放与经济增长之间的关系,判断工业碳排放与经济增长的脱钩状态,以2005—2021年安徽省工业为研究对象,采用EKC模型和Tapio模型进行相关性分析,研究结果表明:安徽省工业碳排放与经济增长之间呈倒U型关系;两者的脱钩状态存在波动性,多为弱脱钩状态.基于此提出了倡导低碳企业文化、改进能源消费结构、发挥政府引领效力等建议.

In order to effectively identify the relationship between industrial carbon emissions and economic growth in Anhui Province,and judge the decoupling state between industrial carbon emissions and economic growth,the industry in Anhui Province was taken as the research object from 2005 to 2021,and the EKC model and Tapio model were used for correlation analysis.The research results show that the relationship between industrial carbon emissions and economic growth in Anhui Province is an inverted U-shaped relationship;the decoupling state of the two is volatile,mostly in weak decoupling state.Based on this,suggestions are put forward to advocate low-carbon corporate culture,improve the energy consumption structure,and give full play to the leading role of the government.