基于ELES模型下的陕西省城镇居民消费结构分析

Analysis of Consumption Structure of Urban Residents in Shaanxi Province Based on ELES Model

在市场经济发展过程中,消费一般为处在末位环节,但在推动国民经济发展的“三驾马车”中,居民的日常消费能力已经逐步转变成为市场经济发展过程中的第一拉动力。基于此,本文通过分析近年来陕西省城镇居民的人均收入及消费数据,使用扩展线性支出系统(ELES)进行建模,研究分析陕西省近年来城镇居民消费结构的变化。结果显示:陕西省城镇居民的消费内容不断丰富,但生活水平仍有待提高。基于以上结果,仍需重视城镇居民综合收入的提高,发挥政府的引导和服务职能,合理优化目前的消费结构,实现我省经济增长的驱动力逐步由投资向消费转变。

In the process of market economy development,consumption is generally in the last link.However,among the"three carriages"promoting the development of national economy,the daily consumption ability of residents has gradually changed into the first driving force in the development of market economy.Based on this,this paper will analyze the per capita income and consumption data of urban residents in Shaanxi province in recent years,and use the extended Linear expenditure System(ELES)to conduct modeling,and study and analyze the relevant changes of consumption structure of urban residents in Shaanxi Province in recent years on the basis of ELES model.The results show that the living content of urban residents in Shaanxi province is constantly enriched,but the living standard still needs to be improved.Based on the above results,we can see that it is still necessary to pay attention to the increase of urban residents’comprehensive income,give play to the government’s guidance and service functions to optimize the current consumption structure,and realize the driving force of economic growth in our province gradually from investment to consumption.