湖南省城镇化对旅游经济影响的空间溢出效应研究

Research on the spatial spillover effects of urbanization on tourism economy in Hunan Province

城镇化带来的消费和投资效应能够有效扩大旅游消费需求,促进区域旅游经济发展.基于2010-2019湖南省14个市州的城镇化率、旅游收入、旅游资源等相关面板数据,运用探索性空间数据分析和空间杜宾模型,定量研究了城镇化水平对旅游经济发展的空间溢出效应.研究结果如下:(1)湖南省旅游经济和城镇化水平存在明显的空间正相关性和集聚效应.如果忽视城镇化的空间溢出效应,将会高估其对本区域旅游经济的影响.(2)城镇化水平对旅游经济具有明显的促进作用和空间溢出效应,如果城镇化水平每提升1%,将会直接带动本地区旅游经济提升1.631%,间接促进临近市州旅游经济增长0.548%.(3)在城镇化过程中,地区经济发展水平、旅游服务设施、旅游资源禀赋、交通可达性对本地区旅游经济具有明显的推动作用,同时地区经济发展水平和交通可达性具有显著的空间正向溢出效应,为理解湖南省城镇化的空间溢出效应,深入挖掘其对旅游经济的关联带动作用提供一定参考.

The consumption and investment effects brought about by urbanization can effectively expand tourism consumption demand and promote the development of tourism economy.Based on the urbanization rate,tourism revenue,tourism resources and other related panel data of 14 cities and prefectures in Hunan Province from 2010 to 2019,this paper uses Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis and Spatial Durbin Model to quantitatively study the spatial spillover effects of urbanization on tourism economy.The results are as follows:(1)There are obvious positive spatial correlation and agglomeration effects of tourism economy and urbanization.If we ignore the spatial spillover effects of urbanization,it will overestimate its impact on the regional tourism economy.(2)The urbanization has obvious promotion and spatial spillover effects on the tourism economy.If the level of urbanization is increased by 1%,it will directly drive the tourism economy of the region to increase by 1.631%,and indirectly promote the tourism economy of neighboring cities and prefectures by 0.548%.(3)In the process of urbanization,the regional economic development level,tourism service facilities,tourism resource endowment,and transportation accessibility play a significant role in promoting the tourism economy of the region.At the same time,the regional economic development level and transportation accessibility have a significant positive space Spillover effect.This research can provide a reference for understanding the spatial spillover effects of urbanization in Hunan Province and digging deeper into its associated driving effects on the tourism economy.