摘要
对于能源革命电力转型,全世界几乎都公认:最突出标志之一是"煤电退役"。然而,长期以来我国对这个问题却始终存在着巨大分歧。由于国内舆论长期被煤电利益共同体操控,以至于我国的公众普遍以为:中国超低排放的煤电技术已经先进到了排放水平低于气电。所以,中国不必退役煤电,也能兑现巴黎协定。不过,最近发布的《加快中国燃煤电厂退出》报告则披露:中国如要兑现巴黎协定,必须要在2040到2055年前退役国内的所有煤电。对此,笔者作为水电工作者,深知发展水电对电力转型之重要,因此,本文将用我国多次为电力转型而做准备的水电规划都曾因未能开启电力转型而落空的历史经验和教训,论述我国水电发展及电力转型的重要性和可行性。
For energy revolution and power transformation,nearly all the countries have recognized one of the most prominent symbols is the retirement of the coal power plants.However,for a long time in China,huge divides existed on this issue.The domestic public opinion had long been dominated by a strong coal community of interests,and a widespread public thought was held in China–the ultra-low coal emission technology has advanced to a level of coal power plant emission lower than gas power plant emission.In such a view,China could deliver on the Paris Agreement without coal power retirement.However,a recently released report,A high ambition coal phaseout in China:feasible strategies through a comprehensive plant-by-plant assessment,revealed that China must retire all the coal power plants by the years of 2040-2055 if the Paris Agreement is to be fulfilled.The author,working on hydropower for decades,well understands the importance of hydropower in power transformation.This paper discusses the importance and feasibility of hydropower development and power transformation in China,reviewing the historical experiences and lessons in the previous hydropower planning that was prepared for power transformation but failed to be implemented.
作者
张博庭
ZHANG Boting(China Society for Hydropower Engineering,Beijing 100044)
出处
《水力发电学报》
EI
CSCD
北大核心
2020年第8期69-78,共10页
Journal of Hydroelectric Engineering
关键词
巴黎协定
能源革命
电力转型
水力发电
煤电退役
超低排放
Paris Agreement
energy revolution
power transformation
coal power retirement
ultra-low emissions of power