我国风能产业发展政策组合驱动路径研究——基于清晰集定性比较分析方法

Research on the Driving Factors of Chinese Wind Energy Industry Development Policy Mix:Based on the Crisp-Set Qualitative Comparative Analysis Method

在能源转型的背景下,为促进风能产业发展,我国出台了一系列政策工具。了解风能产业政策驱动路径,有助于风能产业稳健发展。本文运用政策工具模型对“十三五”期间我国31个省(直辖市、自治区)的271篇风能产业政策文本进行梳理,继而利用清晰集定性比较分析方法(cs QCA),以政策工具模型分类下的政策投入为条件变量,以31个行政区风力发电量为结果变量,识别对风能产业产生显著影响的不同政策组合。研究结果显示:出台涉及环境、供给、需求三方面的全面型政策,并且对环境型政策倾斜往往会对风能产业发展产生更显著的驱动效应。

In the context of the energy transformation,Chinese government has issued a series of policies in order to promote the development of the wind energy industry.Understanding the driving factors about wind energy policy is greatly helpful to promote the steady development of the wind energy industry.This paper uses the policy tool model to sort out 271 texts on wind energy industry policy from 31 provinces(municipalities and autonomous regions)during the“Thirteenth Five-Year Plan”period,and then uses the crisp-set qualitative comparative analysis method(cs QCA)in terms of the policy input of 31 administrative regions used as the condition variable,and the wind power generation in 31 administrative regions used as the outcome variable to identify different policy combinations that will have a significant impact on the wind energy industry.The research results show that the introduction of comprehensive policies involving the environment,supply and demand,and the inclination of environmental policies will often have a more significant driving effect on the development of the wind energy industry.