“双碳”约束与经济增长

Both Restraints of Peak Carbon Dioxide Emissions and Carbon Neutrality and Economic Growth

现代经济学的前沿范式G函数可以直接描述需求和供给两个方面的运行状态。20世纪后半叶以来,环境容量日益成为经济增长的约束条件之一。其中,有关碳排放的两个指标,碳达峰和碳中和已经作为具体的量化数值,进入经济增长的分析过程。为了提高分析的准确性和精确性,有必要把碳达峰和碳中和的量化数值作为特定的需求归入约束条件之列。在静态分析里,这两个数值是作为硬性约束条件存在的,然而,在经济增增长过程中,它们必定是变化的。为了得到更加准确和精确的知识,以动态增长率设定约束目标,是必要的和重要的。

In the last frontier paradigm of modern economics,the dynamic states of demand and supply both sides can be easily described because that the paradigm can provide more convenience in comparison with previous paradigms.Environment capacity has been increasingly one of the constraints to economic growth from the second half of the 20th century.Among the capacity,both indices related carbon emission,i.e.the value of peak carbon dioxide emissions and that of carbon neutrality has been the specific quantitative numerical value to go into the process of analysis for economic growth.In order to rise veracity and accuracy in related analysis process,it is necessary to take the value of peak carbon dioxide emissions and that of carbon Neutrality as the special demand constraint into the G function.These both values as inflexible rules are in the static analysis,while they must varied with the economic growing.For obtaining more accurate and exact knowledge,it is necessary to estimate the dynamic growing rates of them and setting the growing rate as constraints in G function.