哈萨克斯坦大豆生产及出口潜力

Evaluation of Soybean Production and Export Prospects in Kazakhstan

哈萨克斯坦是中亚地区农业生产大国、世界农产品出口大国,农业资源丰富,扩种大豆空间潜力大。中国是大豆第1大消费国和第1大进口国,且主要从巴西、美国和阿根廷进口。受国内资源条件制约,通过进口满足国内大豆消费需求的局面将长期存在。随着外部贸易环境出现新的变化,大豆进口不确定性和风险性增加,具有很强的现实意义。对哈萨克斯坦的农业生产条件、大豆供需等方面的特点、问题及潜力进行了总结和预判,同时对哈萨克斯坦未来大豆产业发展重点进行了分析,提出了未来中国与哈萨克斯坦开展大豆产业合作的建议。

Kazakhstan is one of the most important countries in agriculture production of Central Asia,and a significant exporter of agricultural products in the world.It has great potential for enhancing soybean planting with abundant agricultural resources.China is the largest consumer and importer of soybean,which mainly imports from Brazil,United States and Argentina.Due to the constraints of resources to expanding soybean production,meeting soybean consumption through imports will continue for a long time.However,uncertainty and risk of soybean imports have increased,as negative changes of trade environment.To ensure stable supply of soybean,it is important to accelerate diversification of soybean imports.The characteristics,constrains and potentials of agricultural production conditions,soybean supply and demand were summarized and predicted,at the same time,future developments of soybean industry in Kazakhstan were analyzed,future cooperation between China and Kazakhstan in the soybean industry was proposed.