双碳背景下我国农村居民生活能源碳排放研究——基于STIRPAT模型和双区制空间杜宾模型分析

Research on Carbon Emissions of Rural Residents in China under the Background of Double Carbon:Based on theSTIRPAT Model and the Two-regime Spatial Durbin Model

采用碳排放系数法对我国2005—2019年30个地区的农村居民生活能源消费碳排放量进行测算,通过构建STIRPAT-双区制空间杜宾模型探讨居民生活能源碳排放的溢出梯度与作用机制。研究结果显示:我国农村居民生活能源消费碳排放总量及人均碳排放量均呈上升趋势,且区域差异性明显。农村居民生活能源消费碳排放量受到本地农村与周边地区农村的双重影响,具有显著的空间溢出效应。在3种视角下,我国农村居民生活能源消费碳排放溢出类型均属于相互促进的外向型,存在"高势"农村的扩散与"低势"农村的反馈两种溢出效果。

The carbon emission coefficient method was used to measure the carbon emissions of rural residents’energy consumption in 30 regions of China from 2005 to 2019,and the spillover gradient and mechanism of residential energy carbon emissions were explored by constructing the STIRPAT-double-zone spatial Durbin model.The results of the study show that the total carbon emissions from the energy consumption of rural residents and the per capita carbon emissions are on the rise,and there are obvious regional differences.The carbon emissions of rural residents’energy consumption are both affected by the local rural areas and the surrounding rural areas,with significant spatial spillover effects.From the three perspectives,the types of carbon emission spillovers from the energy consumption of rural residents in my country are all mutually promoting and outward,and there are two spillover effects:the diffusion of“high-power”rural areas and the feedback of“low-power”rural areas.