行为经济学视角下的矿工故意违章行为决策仿真研究

Simulation Research on Deliberate Violation Behavior Decision-making of Miners from the Perspective of Behavioral Economics

根据行为经济学相关理论,从个体偏好、自信水平、工作意志力、违章示范等几个角度对矿工井下作业过程中故意违章决策影响因素进行分析,并构建了矿工故意违章决策系统动力学模型,运用vensimPLE软件仿真分析各因素对矿工故意违章决策的动态影响。结果表明,安全监管对矿工自信水平影响效果显著;安全宣传和安全教育分别对矿工偏好和意志力的提升具有长期效果;安全监管对矿工违章倾向的即时作用效果显著,安全教育作用的发挥则需要一定的时间积累。

According to the relevant theories of behavioral economics,this paper analyzes the influence factors of deliberate violation decision-making in the underground operation of miners from the perspectives of the individual preference,self-confidence level,work willpower and violation demonstration,and establishes a dynamic model of the intentional violation decision-making system.The vensim PLE software is used to simulate the dynamic influence of various factors on the deliberate violation decision of miners.The results show that the safety supervision has a significant effect on the confidence level of miners;the safety propaganda and safety education have long-term effects on the improvement of preferences and willpower of miners;the safety supervision has a significant effect on the immediate effect for violation tendency,and the role of safety education needs to be played after a certain amount of time.