2023年我国经济形势和政策建议

China’s Economic Situation and Policy Recommendations in 2023

2022年,面对疫情再次大规模暴发和俄乌冲突的超预期影响,我国坚持疫情要防住、经济要稳住、发展要安全的要求,推出“一揽子”宏观调控政策,着力稳增长、稳就业、稳物价,经济在第二季度跌入谷底后呈现回稳势头,产业链供应链稳固,就业形势有所改善,物价总体保持稳定,全年经济增长预计3.0%左右。与此同时,外部风险挑战明显增多,国内需求不足矛盾凸显,市场主体预期转弱,财政金融风险有所暴露。我们建议,2023年要继续以经济建设为中心,坚持稳中求进工作总基调,把稳增长放在突出地位,继续实施积极的财政政策和稳健的货币政策,不断深化改革、扩大开放,着力扩大内需,着力增强微观主体活力,着力稳定市场信心,保持经济运行在合理区间。

In 2022,in the face of another large-scale outbreak of Coronavirus epidemic and the unexpected impact of Russian-Ukrainian conflict,China implemented the requirements of epidemic prevention,economic stability,and development security,launched a package of macro-control policies,focused on stable growth,stable employment,stable prices,the economy showed a momentum of stabilization after falling to the bottom in the second quarter,the industrial chain and supply chain were stable,the employment situation improved,prices remained stable overall,and the annual economic growth is expected to be about 3.0%.At the same time,external risk challenges have increased significantly,the contradiction of insufficient domestic demand has become prominent,the expectations of market entities have weakened,and fiscal and financial risks have been exposed.We suggest that in 2023,we should continue to take economic construction as the center,adhere to the general tone of seeking progress while maintaining stability,put stable growth in a prominent position,continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and a prudent monetary policy,continue to deepen reform,expand opening-up,focus on expanding domestic demand,focus on enhancing the vitality of micro subjects,focus on stabilizing market confidence,and maintain economic operation in a reasonable range.