基于系统动力学的军用物资需求预测

Military Material Demand Prediction Based on System Dynamics

为解决军用物资需求预测难的问题,提出应用系统动力学方法对军用物资需求进行预测。分析系统动力学需求预测的一般流程,以装备维修器材这一典型军用物资需求为例,验证系统动力学需求预测过程。实例表明,应用系统动力学对军用物资需求进行预测,其预测结果准确,预测方法科学可行。

To solve the problem of military material demand prediction,the system dynamics method is proposed to predict the military material demand in this paper.It firstly analyzes the general process of system dynamics demand prediction.Then,it verifies the process of system dynamics demand prediction by taking equipment maintenance equipment,a typical military material demand,as an example.The example shows that the prediction result is accurate and the method is scientific and feasible.